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Editions 271 - 275
CyberschuulNews
275
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NDUSTRYWATCH
NiRA,
Visafone,
potential vistas for growth in awareness,
access and business
Africa has not had the best of numbers to
show when it comes to Internet usage, but
that picture is changing. Internet usage is
on the rise. Even with the poor state of
internet access on the continent, usage, in
absolute numbers, has been highest in
Nigeria.
Internetworldstats.com which rates internet
usage world wide published that 8 million
Nigerians were using the internet as at
December 2007. Telecom Answers Associates
which conducted an industry audit for
Nigeria in 2006 reports that the figure for
Nigeria was slightly above 7.7 million mid
2006.
In the Telecom Answers Associates report,
awareness had been rated as very high in
Nigeria. It was also reported that 115
Internet Service Providers, ISP’s, in
Nigeria (representing only 20% of the total
number of licenses issued for internet
service provision) were operating and that
significant access was derived from servers
based outside Nigeria. 65 ISP’s had opened
and closed shops within the four-year period
between 2002 and 2006. The reports says
‘There is a huge gap between demand and
supply of bandwidth. The gap is brought
about by consumers’ inability to buy
bandwidth and this inability is accentuated
by an indescribable and worsening access to
basic public electricity supply across the
entire country...’
With these findings, what remains important,
however, is the fact that while access has
been low, more than 8 million users have
been recorded in Nigeria and there is high
potential for the figure to grow rapidly in
the foreseeable future.
The reasons for this positive outlook
include two industry events : revival of the
Nigerian Internet Registration Association,
NiRA, and a 2007 promising upstart, Visafone.
NiRA, which was raised after a long wait,
has now published a compass for its
performance and it has mounted invitation
for registration of registrars and partners.
Hence, awareness which has been a high point
for Nigeria may be on the rise again. In
addition to this, Visafone is deploying a
low-investment-high-yield technology option,
and may sprout in 36 states with wireless
access to voice and internet the way no one
ever did. If Visafone, few years down the
road, is then taken to the capital market (a
very high probability considering the
business temperament of its promoter), it
may just be open sesame for Nigeria.
What do all these point to?
That there is business to do and there is
potential for growth. Push that into the
continent and consider the more than half a
dozen private sector initiative projects
which are broadband focused.
These come with potential challenges
including the need to liberalize the energy
sector. If government does not sincerely
liberalize the energy industry but continues
to throw money into the problem, poor public
power supply may still taunt the economy and
slow down the unstoppable march. What is
more, if government does not truly divest
itself from involvement in
telecommunications business, wastes and
market summersaults may continue. A clear
example is NigComSat which presents a fine
concept except that NigComSat should
rightfully be competing with NASA, and not
with PTO’s.
There is a choice to make between preferring
a government that had a bad thrust and one
that has no thrust.
Above
text is excerpted from two recent
presentations:
one to graduating students of electrical/
electronic engineering, Unilag,
and the other to Board of Directors of a
telecom firm at Nicon Transcorp Hotel,
Abuja.
The presentation were by Mr. Titi Omo-Ettu,
a Lagos based telecommunications Consultant.
NiRA is shopping for Registrars
Board of Directors, the Nigeria Internet
Registration Association, NiRA, has adopted
the Registry/Registrar mode of operation in
the Registration of the .ng ccTLD in the
country. NiRA is therefore, calling for
interested companies to send in applications
to become accredited and certified
Registrars.
Applicants for accreditation as Registrar
must satisfy NiRA that:
The applicant possesses and can show
adequate knowledge of the Domain Name System
and NiRA's Policies, Procedures and
Guidelines, Registration Policies and
Operations sufficient in NIRA's view to
provide good service to Registrants and
potential Registrants;
The applicant has the capability to
electronically interact with Registrants,
NiRA and NiRA's systems in accordance with
the Registrar Policies, Procedures and
Guidelines;
The applicant is capable of providing
Registrar Services in accordance with the
Registrar Agreement and in compliance with
the applicable Registrar Policies,
Procedures and Guidelines; etc.
For the full details of the qualifications
of Registrars please visit
www.nira.org.ng
and read the NiRA Registrar Accreditation
Policy.
AfriISPA says
broadband will boom in Africa
AfriSPA’s executive Secretary Eric Osiakwan
said a number of public-private partnerships
are working on about a dozen credible
broadband infrastructure projects on the
continent.
Some of them Include Baharicom (Nepad's
broadband infrastructure project), East
Africa Submarine Cable System (Eassy),
Infinity Telecom, Infraco's cable system,
Main Street Technologies' Main One,
Nigeria's Glo-1, and Seacom, . As time goes
on, and very shortly too cost for broadband
may move down in Africa.
Mr. Osiakwam was speaking at the completion
of Broadband Summit, in Sandton, last week.
He did a detailed analysis of almost all the
projects and concluded that the progress is
good for Africa's development.
AfriSPA is African Internet Service
Providers Association.
For
Telecommunications,
President Yar ‘Adua’s visit to China is
rated low on content
The joint communiqué which Presidents of
Nigeria and China [Umar Yar 'Adua/Hu Jintao]
endorsed last week shows the visit to be a
mere stow away trip with very little to
show. That is if diplomatic niceties count
little. Although major meat was made of
President Yar ‘Adua's invitation to his host
on telecommunications and energy, the fact
that not much is known to have been thought
through at home on energy explains why no
concrete issues could be discussed. Senior
officials who were on the trip and who laboured to justify the President’s
invitation to the Chinese on
telecommunications support also did not
display evidence of any useful input to the
President's thought process.
Yes,
China was given the Railway to restore, with
little to show. Yes, China launched a satellite
on behalf of Nigeria 2007 on an agenda that
is very low on putting Nigeria properly in
cyberspace. Yes, China has built some
hydroelectric dams which Nigerians cannot point at to
have solved any problem. Telecom projects
in which Nigerian government and Chinese have
joint hands have all failed to deliver.
Others are those that provide something for
Chinese and nothing for Nigerians. So what
else is there to gain from all these
junketing
which add no value to standard of living? Ok
if things are being refashioned to make
Nigerians truly benefit from such bilateral
relationships.
Please click here for the Communiqué
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CyberschuulNews 274
Now that the digital future is here
Broadcasters must play lead role in
Digitisation and Convergence
Dr Ekwow
Spio-Garbrah, CEO of the Commonwealth
Telecommunications Organisation, a few weeks
ago, invited Commonwealth broadcasting
professionals to play their part in
preparing for convergence in the information
and communications technology industry by
promoting various public-private
partnerships.
He
counselled that broadcasting corporations in
the developing world must prepare to enter
into other industries, such as
telecommunications and the Internet, just as
companies in those fields in the
industrialised world are already acquiring
and/or merging with broadcasting companies
in an era of increasing policy, regulatory
and technological convergence. He noted that
advances, in particular in mobile and
Internet technology and access, as well as
in computer software, and the increasing
desire of consumers to enjoy the benefits of
television and broadcasting on mobile
platforms and terminals, should make it
imperative for broadcasters to monitor more
intensely what was going on in those fields
and deepen their engagement with
institutions such as the CTO.
OPINION
Nigeria, NITEL/MTel, Transcorp and the rest
of us:
Commencement of a wild-goose chase
One unique
thing about us, Nigerians is our smartness at
turning every problem into business. When
Mr. John Odeh, Federal Minister of
information and communications announced the
adjustment in NITEl’s sale to Transcorp, the
issue quickly rose to become business. The
guy probably made a mistake to have thought
that his message would sale through smoothly
since all the events leading to the decision
were already very widely reported and
therefore in the public domain. He probably
goofed to have thought that he did not need
to repeat the story that there had been
several and long discussions between
government, the National Assembly, Transcorp
executives, NITEL’s workers since all these
had been widely reported in newspapers, on
radio, on TV and widely on the internet. He
also, rightly or wrongly, must have thought
he as minister should not go restating the
ugly stories of how Transcorp was
established by baba and all the zigzag stories
relating to the issue since all these had
been widely reported. He probably left all
that to analysts to worry their heads about
and get something to analyse especially now
that not much is happening in the telecom
industry.
But no
sooner than he made the announcement than
business began. Predictably so. And some
were bizarre. A newspaper whose reporters
had constantly fed the public with closeup
stories on the various discussions and the
fact that both Government and Transcorp had
virtually agreed to trim the shareholding
of Transcorp downwards to safe face wrote an editorial
to say the decision of government was
arbitrary.
Arbitrary?
Taken
along with Mr. President’s understandable
unstable mind in these days when judgment in
his matter with Atiku/Buhari election
challenge was just few days away and knowing
that the judiciary of today is not the type
we had yesterday, the confusion that the
reactions generated almost extracted a
reversal of the decision but somehow things
coasted home safely and several writers and
TV analysts who had invited and invented
one-way [the other way] opinions to feed to the public
eventually said ‘Transcorp, Government agree
on sale of NITEL’ as if that was news.
Nobody reported the amount of business that
had been done across Nigeria.
An editorial downplayed all the persistent
and widely reported cry of NITEL's workers
since Transcorp took over the affairs of the
companies that their companies were dieing
fast calling for a decisive action. Rather
the editorial said NITEL's workers position
was unimportant since, after all, workers
nowhere would ever agree to privatisation of
their companies. Haba!
What is
important for now is that Government has set
itself on another wild goose chase for a
core investor to buy into NITEL. That, bet
you, has started another round of business.
Those Nigerians who ingeniously assembled
the letters P E N T A S C O P and E to make
it sound like something that was real should
be on the field now doing business and since
no one had ever unmasked them, it is going
to be business as usual.
When will
all these jokes stop? Someone should tell
these guys upstairs that Nigeria wont
succeed with the chase of core investor in
the mode of how ‘core’ is being defined.
What will save NITEL is that Government
should sell it 100% and a buyer will come.
Selling 99% of it and government retaining 1
% will not attract a good so-called core
investor.
No
consultant who knows the track record of
Nigeria will advise his client to put money
into 99% of NITEL.
100%, Yes.
SUMMIT
Technology Times Outlook 2008 looks ahead
ICT Nigeriana
The
management of Skylark Communications
Limited, publishers of Technology Times, has
announced it would hold the maiden edition
of Technology Times Outlook 2008, its
flagship business summit that will appraise
ICT developments that will shape and define
the Nigerian economy in 2008 and beyond.
The Event
is scheduled for Wednesday February 27, 2008
at the MUSON Centre, Onikan Lagos.
A key
highlight of the event will also be the
unveiling of the new-look edition of
Technology Times Newspaper, the weekly
newspaper on the Nigerian ICT sector as well
as announcement of the proposed launch of
Technology Times Annual.
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CyberschuulNews
273
Work
Progresses on ICT’s in Motor Vehicles
For the third year running, a major event focusing on information and
communication technologies (ICT) in motor vehicles is being organized
jointly by International Telecommunications Union, ITU, International
Organization for Standardization, ISO and International
Electrotechnical Commission, IEC, working together as the World
Standards Cooperation (WSC).
The event will be The Fully Networked Car, the name given to a workshop
and Expo scheduled for between 5 and 7 March 2008 in Geneva.
What delegates will be engaging their minds on are: What are the right
business models in linking the automotive and telecoms sectors? What
are the legal, policy, engineering, environment constraints and
challenges?
Nigeria
Internet Registration Association announces its Institutional structures
President of Nigeria
Internet Registration Association, NiRA, Ndukwe Kalu, recently
announced the major framework under which the Association would
operate. The structures for the Association would be on four
institutional elements, namely, The Secretariat, Its Policies &
Procedures, Technical infrastructure and Service provider
Partners.
Several draft documents
which seek to map the way forward are currently being
reviewed by interested parties in the hope that final decision would be
made within the first quarter of this year.
CyberschuulNews 272
NCC
announces a ban on promotions by GSM Operators
A ban has been placed on
products promotion of GSM Mobile telephone services in Nigeria as the
regulatory authorities say recent measurement of phone quality revealed
unsatisfactory performance of all GSM operating networks. The Nigerian
Communications Commission, NCC, appears set to discourage operators
even from placing advertisements that are capable of adding more
subscribers or result in additional airtime usage on their networks.
In all honesty, Mobile
operators may have overdone themselves in their bombardment of airwaves
and newspaper pages in promoting products which really never did well.
Nigerians love hype and the operators have merely cashed in on this to
fill themselves.
Matters reached terrible
levels long ago when industry feelers gave incontrovertible indication
of rapid deterioration of quality, and CyberschuulNews in its
edition 236, June 2007 burst up with CAMPAIGNS are now
PRODUCTS which warned on the looming excesses of
the campaigners.
Reproduced herewith, unedited, the piece said:
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CyberschuulNews
110607-236
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'..CAMPAIGNS are now PRODUCTS
Nigeria’s big players in the telecom sector, Mobile [GSM]
operators, are monopolizing space in product marketing. Celtel,
formerly VMobile, whose 65% acquisition by Celtel forced its change of
name celebrated one year of the name change by throwing 200 million
Naira of airtime up for grabs. Its image maker, Emeka Oparah, said
after achieving their core objective of making life better for
Nigerians, the next level was to make N200million of airtime free for
buyers of Celtel’s airtime. MTN on the other hand is throwing
BlackBerry Pearl and BlackBerry 8700g into the market. Campaign
managers, XLR8 are out with full literature on the high-end strengths
of the products. Powerful technical features, multimedia capabilities,
complete with USB cable for message transfer. Infact BlackBery became
an object of fine comments at the recent Tinapa Summit.
Fine. Except that all these are happening at a time when 2 out of every
three calls made across the networks are failing and money gets paid
even for calls that fail. Information is short on what operators are
doing to improve quality and reduce cost which appears to be the dream
of consumers. ALTON, Association of Licensed Telecom Operators in
Nigeria, in an advertorial admitted the problems and gave promises
which experts say are actually low on facts and figures...'
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Things have not improved
since then.
Only a few of industry
observers would not predict that the operators may head for the courts
to challenge the ban. In fact a notable pastime of the operators has
been their recourse to the courts, even if only to play for time, each
time the regulator sought to keep them under check. Although they have
always lost in the court, or withdrawn their cases after embarking on
such fruitless journeys, thanks to the professional manner in which the
Commission adheres to the laws of the land in industry management. But
for the tact and professional adherence to the laws on the part of the
Commission, the behaviour of the operators were capable of destroying
not just the industry but the economy.
Laudable as the
Communications Act 2003 had served its purpose in the improving
evolution of the industry, its weak points remain the various timelines
under which evocation of sanctions were to be managed. That
has been one of the several areas which industry analysts expected
federal legislators to train their mind in their oversight functions.
Regrettably, those who were charged to do that went about chasing the
few among us who have proved to the world that Nigerians are capable.
And they went, at the same time, promoting a recourse to using the
civil service to provide telecommunication, a journey which has failed
over and over in our history.
It is not clear if the
House Committee on Poor quality of telecom services identified solid
ground for a slight review of the Communications Act since their report
merely rabble-roused without hitting at any respectable analysis of the
issues at stake.
SCIENTISTS' REPORT
Mobile phones do not cause brain cancer, finds radiation study
Scientists at Tokyo Women's Medical University compared phone use in
322 brain cancer patients with 683 healthy people and found that
regularly using a mobile did not significantly affect the likelihood of
getting brain cancer. They also studied the radiation emitted from
different types of phones to assess the effect on different areas of
the brain.
"Using our newly developed and more accurate techniques, we found no
association between mobile phone use and cancer, providing more
evidence to suggest they don't cause brain cancer," Naohito Yamaguchi,
who led the research, said.
His team's findings were published in the British Journal of Cancer
recently.
The study looked at radiation emitted from different types of phones to
assess the effect on different areas of the brain and concluded that.
‘Using a mobile phone does not increase your risk of brain
cancer’ ..the finding adds to the growing body of evidence
that mobile phones are safe.
Scientists around the world have been monitoring the effects of
radio-frequency fields on human health for around 60 years.
Public concern over the safety of mobile phones has grown as more and
more adults and children rely on them for everyday communication,
although the evidence to date has given the technology a clean bill of
health. Despite an explosion in mobile phone use around the world since
the 1980s, the number of cases of brain cancer has hardly changed.
A few studies have shown an association between mobile phones and
cancer but the majority have found no link. The largest study to date,
involving 420,000 people, showed no association with any type of
cancer, even after 10 years of use.
In 1995, Messers Telecom
Answers Associates which carried out the first local study
into Prospects of Cellular Mobile Telecommunications Market in Nigeria
said in its report that 'there were earlier worries that mobile phones
might adversely affect people with impaired hearing just as some also
feared it might create cancer of the brain. These fears were however
dismissed by studies which were published in world class journals'.
Public concern about the harmful effect of mobile phones again became
heightened in 2006 and the Nigerian Communications Commission, NCC, on
May 4, 2006 issued a statement to dispel such fears saying
‘The Nigerian Communications Commission has reiterated that
there is no known conclusive scientific evidence at present to indicate
that radiation from telecommunication masts or handsets could cause
such dangerous diseases as cancer among humans’
TRENDS in Telecommunications: Nigeria
Consolidation; Universal Access (Voice, Internet); Competition;
Capacity building; etc
CONSOLIDATION
Good! The industry is self-consolidating.
History of the early days of liberalization in Nigeria reveals that
considerable input went into how the industry should evolve. To be
guided, or to allow it free evolution? It was considered dangerous to
adopt a guided approach in an economy that was prone to corruption as
officials were likely to exploit it for selfish interest. They did it
before; and industry eggheads felt once beaten, twice shy.
By 2005, it was clear that 24 operators was an overkill and that the
clamour for consolidation was real.
The carpet raiser was in December 2006 when MTN bought VGCCL, a
thriving fixed-wired service provider, wholesale. Since then things
happened slowly but it now appears it shall be on the fast lane. 2007
forecasts went close to reality as 4 operators went over to bigger
players. Three others might have closed shop since no one could locate
their subscribers.
Information is in the system now that Visafone has already signed for
100% stakes in Bourdex Telecom which is operating in the East. By the
time it is all over, going by the trend, 10 operators would have either
closed shop or be bought over while 14 will soldier on. Reading from
the performance table, chances are that 7 operators may be running
satisfactorily, 6 ailing, and 4 expressly desirous of buyers.
In 14 years of deregulation, the industry attracted a little over
$10billion, most of which came in the past eight years. Government
during the eight years frittered $10billion on a chase of elusive good
public power system. The new government had said it would confront
energy crisis as war but six months into the journey it almost reversed
itself when it announced that it would detour to find out how
$10billion went into thin air. President Yar 'Adua must have waited for
Oby Ezekwesili, a Nigerian who now works for the World Bank before
making the announcement. Ezekwesili served as Minister in the last
regime and she was one of the reform choristers of the government. For
inappropriate temperament in reform implementation, she was virtually
eased out of the education Ministry into the waiting hands of her
former employers. Now she was visiting and the President told her that
his predecessor's reform in the power sector was nothing more than a
squandering of the riches.
Had the $10billion inward investment from telecommunications been
better deployed, Nigerians would have been paying less for
telecommunication services.
Next: Universal Access
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TRENDS:
NIGERIA: Who was doing what,
December 2007
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21st
Century
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Lagos, Fixed
Wired Voice, Internet
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Discom
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Lagos, Fixed
Wired Voice, Internet
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Celtel
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Nationwide
GSM
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Globacom
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Nationwide
GSM, SNOP
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Intercellular
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Lagos, Abuja,
Port Harcourt Fixed
Wireless. Mobile, Internet
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Megatech
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Kano Fixed
Wireless Voice, Internet
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Mtel
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Nationwide
GSM
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Mtn
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Nationwide
GSM
VGC by acquisition
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Mts
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Nationwide
fixed Voice, Internet
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Multilinks
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Telkom-Multilinks by buying
into
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Nitel
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Nationwide
Fixed Wired Services + Fixed
Wireless, FNO, Internet.
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Oduatel
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South West
Fixed Wired + Fixed Wireless
Voice, Internet
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Prestel
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Benin,
Wireless Voice, Internet
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Rainbownet
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Enugu, Aba,
Fixed wireless Voice
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Reltel
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Lagos, Ibadan,
Fixed Wireless Voice
Internet
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Starcomms
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Abuja, Ibadan, Kaduna, Kano,
Lagos, Maiduguri,
PHC, Fixed Wireless Voice,
Mobile, Internet,
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Startech
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Abuja, Fixed
wireless
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Visafone
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Bourdex by
acquisition
Cellcom by acquisition
ITN by acquisition
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This data is
from private source. Not
government authorised.
Informed comments will be
appreciated. Source : TAA
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TRENDS: Nigeria: Who was
doing What, December 2005
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21st
Century
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Lagos, Fixed
Wired Voice, Internet
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Bourdex
Telecom
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East, Fixed
Wireless Voice
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Cellcom
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Lagos, Kano,
M'guri F/Wireless Voice
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Discom
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Lagos, Fixed
Wired Voice, Internet
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Celtel [F'mly
VMobile]
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Nationwide
GSM
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Emis
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Lagos Fixed
Wireless Voice
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Globacom
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Nationwide
GSM, SNOP
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Gte
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Lagos Fixed
Wired Voice, Internet
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Intercellular
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Lagos, Abuja,
PHC, F/Wireless. Ltd Mobile,
Internet
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Itn
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Lagos, Fixed
Wireless Voice, Internet
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Megatech
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Kano Fixed
Wireless Voice, Internet
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Mobitel
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Lagos, Warri,
PHC F/Wired,F/ Wireless
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Mtel
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Nationwide
GSM
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Mtn
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Nationwide
GSM
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Mts
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Nationwide
fixed Voice, Internet
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Multilinks
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Lagos
F/Wireless Voice, Internet,
Ltd Mobile
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Nitel
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FNO,
Nationwide F/Wired,
F/Wireless, Internet.
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Oduatel
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South West
F/Wired + F/Wireless Voice,
Internet
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Prestel
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Benin,
F/Wireless Voice, Internet
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Rainbownet
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East,
F/wireless Voice, Internet
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Reltel
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Lagos Fixed
Wireless Voice, Internet
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Starcomms
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Lagos, Kano,
M'guri, F/Wireless Voice,
Internet,
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Startech
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Abuja, Fixed
wireless
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Vgc
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Lagos, PHC
Fixed Wired Fibre, Fibre to
St. copper to premises,
Internet, ADSL, DSL
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Xpt
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Lagos, Fixed
Wired Voice, Internet
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This data is from private
source. Not government
authorised. Informed
comments will be
appreciated. Source : TAA
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Graphics of
Consolidation :
Nigeria
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Deal
Partner A
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Deal
Partner Z
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Service Type
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%
Share Deal Partner A
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Approximate Deal
Date
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Deal
Value
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MTN
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VGC
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Fixed
Telephony
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100
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Dec
2006
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Telkom SA
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Multilinks
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Wireless Telephony
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75
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March
2007
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Linkserve
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Infoweb
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Internet
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100
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2006
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